海湾斡旋暂缓美国对伊朗空袭
事件直接牵动霍尔木兹通航、全球能源供应和航运风险，时效性强；多方信源提供了重要交叉信息，但关键协议仍未获共同确认。
中文摘要
核心结论
特朗普称，在沙特阿拉伯、卡塔尔和阿联酋领导人劝说下，美国取消了原定对伊朗发动的新一轮大规模打击，为外交斡旋留出时间。停火框架仍未达成，伊朗公开否认当前正在讨论重开霍尔木兹海峡，局势缓和仍取决于后续谈判与实际停火执行。
重要性评级
评级：5/5（高）
报道直接影响霍尔木兹海峡供应风险、Brent（布伦特原油）、WTI（西德克萨斯中质原油）和航运定价。美联社同时引述美方、伊朗方及地区斡旋人士，信息密度高，但部分关键内容来自特朗普陈述和匿名消息源。
关键事实
- 特朗普表示，美国原计划在08/02（未给出具体时刻）发动其所称“二战以来最大规模的攻击”，随后取消行动。
- 沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼以及卡塔尔、阿联酋领导人主张优先寻求协议，担忧伊朗报复海湾盟友并冲击全球经济。
- 战争已持续约5个月；美国与以色列于02/28（未给出具体时刻）开始攻击伊朗。
- 特朗普称拟议安排包括重开霍尔木兹海峡、解决伊朗核问题，并预计谈判于08/03（未给出具体时刻）下午恢复。
- 一名参与调解的地区官员称，方案还包括停止伊朗及其支持的武装对海湾阿拉伯国家、约旦和伊拉克境内目标的攻击；美国则结束对伊朗的海上封锁并允许其出口石油。
- 该官员明确表示协议尚未达成，调解仍在进行；以色列也未公开确认特朗普所说的停火承诺。
- 伊朗外交部发言人表示，霍尔木兹海峡不会恢复到02/28以前的状态，目前与阿曼讨论航运问题，但没有讨论重新开放海峡。
- 战前约五分之一的全球贸易石油和天然气经过霍尔木兹海峡；伊朗此前多次袭击未经其许可试图通航的船只。
作者观点与证据
报道将海湾国家对地区报复和经济损失的担忧视为特朗普改变决定的重要背景。主要证据包括特朗普公开讲话、伊朗外交部表态、一名地区调解官员及一名了解沙特通话人士的说法；协议条款、以色列参与程度和伊朗接受意愿仍缺少各方共同确认。特朗普此前数次宣布暂停打击，战事随后又恢复，这削弱了单次表态的确定性。
与相关标的的关系
霍尔木兹海峡若恢复稳定通航，原油与成品油运输受阻风险可能下降，直接关联Brent、WTI及油轮航运。若谈判破裂或美国恢复打击，海峡通航、海湾能源设施和船舶安全仍将构成主要风险变量。
时效性与限制
文章发布于美东时间 08/01 16:09（UTC+8 08/02 04:09），并于美东时间 08/02 22:10（UTC+8 08/03 10:10）归档。发布时间字段与正文所述08/02事件存在日期次序差异，应以后续更新核验；报道中的停火框架仍处于提案和斡旋阶段。
后续跟踪
- 美伊谈判是否按计划恢复，以及参与方名单与正式议程。
- 伊朗、美国、以色列是否分别确认停火和海峡安排。
- 霍尔木兹海峡船舶通行量、保险费率与油轮滞留情况。
- 美国海上封锁、伊朗石油出口和地区武装袭击是否实际变化。
原文
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World News
Trump says Gulf leaders’ input weighed heavily in decision to hold off on ordering new Iran strikes
Trump says Gulf leaders’ input weighed heavily in decision to hold off on ordering new Iran strikes
1 of 7 |
U.S. President Donald Trump says he will order American forces to hold off on strikes he had threatened against Iran, claiming Mideast allies had reached the parameters of a deal to end the war. (Produced by Elaine Carroll)
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2 of 7 |
U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday he decided to hold off on ordering American forces to carry out new strikes against Iran at the urging of Gulf allies Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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4 of 7 |
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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President Donald Trump stands with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on his visit to the White House, Nov. 18, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein, File)
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6 of 7 |
A woman walks under a banner shows newly elected Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya, center, alongside the late leaders Ismail Haniyeh, right, and Yahya Sinwar, with writing in Hebrew reads: “From Sinwar’s generation, the new leader on the ground” and in Arabic: “Khalil al-Hayya, the occupiers’ nightmare” at the Palestine square in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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7 of 7 |
Vehicles drive past a billboard showing a photo of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, right, greeting the late Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, and Iranian and Palestinian flags, at an intersection in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Trump says Gulf leaders’ input weighed heavily in decision to hold off on ordering new Iran strikes
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1 of 7
U.S. President Donald Trump says he will order American forces to hold off on strikes he had threatened against Iran, claiming Mideast allies had reached the parameters of a deal to end the war. (Produced by Elaine Carroll)
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U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday he decided to hold off on ordering American forces to carry out new strikes against Iran at the urging of Gulf allies Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
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3 of 7 |
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters onboard Air Force One while returning to the White House, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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President Donald Trump stands with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on his visit to the White House, Nov. 18, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein, File)
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President Donald Trump stands with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on his visit to the White House, Nov. 18, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein, File)
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6 of 7 |
A woman walks under a banner shows newly elected Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya, center, alongside the late leaders Ismail Haniyeh, right, and Yahya Sinwar, with writing in Hebrew reads: “From Sinwar’s generation, the new leader on the ground” and in Arabic: “Khalil al-Hayya, the occupiers’ nightmare” at the Palestine square in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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6 of 7
A woman walks under a banner shows newly elected Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya, center, alongside the late leaders Ismail Haniyeh, right, and Yahya Sinwar, with writing in Hebrew reads: “From Sinwar’s generation, the new leader on the ground” and in Arabic: “Khalil al-Hayya, the occupiers’ nightmare” at the Palestine square in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Vehicles drive past a billboard showing a photo of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, right, greeting the late Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, and Iranian and Palestinian flags, at an intersection in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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7 of 7
Vehicles drive past a billboard showing a photo of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, right, greeting the late Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, and Iranian and Palestinian flags, at an intersection in downtown Tehran, Iran, Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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By
AAMER MADHANI and SAMY MAGDY
Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year]
Leer en español
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WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday he decided to hold off on ordering American forces to carry out new strikes against Iran at the urging of Gulf allies Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
Trump added that a plan was in place for U.S. forces to carry out “the biggest attack since World War II” on Sunday. But he decided to scrap the plan and give diplomacy more time to play out after hearing from key Gulf leaders — including Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman — as well as at the request of unnamed Iranian officials.
“I said to the crown prince, ‘What would you rather do? Would you rather us do this or not?’” Trump told reporters on Air Force One as he flew back to Washington after spending the weekend at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey. “They said we would much prefer a deal as opposed to an attack, because you don’t know where these attacks lead.”
Trump and the crown prince spoke on Saturday before the U.S. president announced in a social media post that Mideast allies had reached the “perimeters” of a deal to end the 5-month-old war.
It was another turnabout for Trump, who a day earlier said he’s “losing faith” in negotiations with Iran and offered the ominous warning that the U.S. military “will be hitting them very hard.”
Trump on Sunday reiterated that the emerging deal would include a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the critical waterway where about a fifth of all traded oil and natural gas flowed before the start of the war, and would resolve U.S. concerns about Iran’s nuclear program.
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Iran has repeatedly attacked vessels attempting to transit through the Strait of Hormuz without its authorization as part of its conflict with the U.S.
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And Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz “will in no way return to the status it was before February 28th,” the day the war started.
On a call with Iranian state TV, he added that Iran is discussing shipping through the strait with Oman, on the other side of Hormuz, but that there’s no current talk about reopening the crucial waterway.
Trump has announced halts to strikes on Iran on several occasions since the United States and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28, only for things to unravel and fighting to resume again.
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Iran’s defense minister said on X that the country was “neither surprised nor passive” following Trump’s announcement and said the Islamic Republic remains alert in the face of concrete threats from the U.S.
While Iran’s leaders appear united in a war strategy signaling strength and endurance, a struggle for control seems to be brewing within the theocracy’s leadership between those who oppose all negotiations with the U.S. and others who count on military pressure to win at the negotiating table.
The latest proposal would bring sides back to negotiations
Trump on Sunday said he expected negotiations to resume “tomorrow afternoon” but did not detail who would be involved in such talks.
A regional official said the proposal announced by Trump over the weekend calls for the U.S. and Iran to return to negotiations and continue working out many of the issues that have stymied prior progress on the deal.
The official, who is involved in the mediation efforts, said the proposal calls for reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and halting attacks across the region, including by Iranian-backed militias in Iraq, on Arab Gulf countries and Jordan.
The U.S., in exchange, will end its naval blockade on Iran and allow Tehran to export its oil as stated in the tentative ceasefire deal, he said.
No deal has been reached yet but mediation efforts are underway, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he wasn’t authorized to talk to the media.
Trump said that Israel is joining his commitment to end the war by implementing the ceasefire deal reached in June. Israel did not publicly comment on the announcement.
Saudis are concerned about Iran’s retaliation
Prince Mohammed, the kingdom’s de facto leader, raised concerns about the U.S. potentially escalating the conflict when he spoke with Trump by phone on Saturday .
The call was “candid and constructive,” according to a person briefed on the call who was not authorized to comment publicly and requested anonymity.
The crown prince conveyed that an escalation in fighting could have a severe impact on the global economy if Tehran responded to a new U.S. bombardment by targeting some of the United States’ Gulf allies.
The call happened before Trump’s social media announcement, the person said. The crown prince sought clarity from Trump on what potential new action he was weighing to take against Iran.
Saudi officials, the person added, have underscored in their engagements with the Trump administration that the kingdom — as well as fellow Persian Gulf energy titans the United Arab Emirates and Qatar — are in a good position to defend against further potential Iranian attacks, but that Kuwait could be more vulnerable to attacks by Iranian-backed militias in Iraq.
Trump suggested that his conversation with the Saudi crown prince weighed heavily in his decision to halt his plans to carry out strikes on Iran.
“It would have been disastrous for them. And they didn’t want us to do it,” Trump said. “And frankly, Saudi Arabia didn’t want it either. They thought that a deal is imminent.”
___
Magdy reported from Cairo. Associated Press writers Toqa Ezzidin in Cairo, Giovanna Dell’Orto in Jerusalem, Melanie Lidman in Tel Aviv, Israel, and Natalie Melzer in Nahariya, Israel, contributed to this report.
AAMER MADHANI
Madhani is a White House reporter for the Associated Press whose reporting focuses on U.S. foreign policy. Contact him securely on Signal at aamermadhani.39
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SAMY MAGDY
Magdy is a Middle East reporter for The Associated Press, based in Cairo. He focuses on conflict, migration and human rights abuses.
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