霍尔木兹冲突升级冲击能源通道
报道紧邻日报窗口,涉及全球关键油气通道,并提供空袭规模、区域损害和船舶通行量等具体事实;对能源与跨资产风险观察具有直接影响,但交战方口径仍需独立验证。
中文摘要
核心结论
美国连续扩大对伊朗空袭,伊朗则袭击多个海湾国家并宣称关闭霍尔木兹海峡,双方围绕商船通行权的冲突已危及临时协议与停火斡旋。海峡通行量明显低于战前水平,全球油气运输、能源价格与避险资产面临新的事件风险。
重要性评级
评级:5/5(高)
报道发布时间接近日报观察窗口,且涉及约占全球贸易油气五分之一的运输通道。美军行动规模、区域报复范围、船舶通行量和设施损害均有具体事实支持,对原油、液化天然气、黄金、美元及加密资产的跨市场观察具有直接价值。
关键事实
- 美军在一周内对伊朗发动三轮空袭;其中一轮打击约140个目标,包括导弹和无人机发射场、弹药库、通信设备及其他设施,后续行动还涉及导弹系统、防空系统和伊朗革命卫队船只。
- 美国称行动旨在削弱伊朗袭击自由通行商船的能力。首轮空袭回应伊朗此前对一艘塞浦路斯籍集装箱船的打击;该船机舱严重受损,阿曼救出23名船员,另有一名印度籍船员失踪。
- 伊朗报复性袭击波及巴林、科威特、卡塔尔、约旦和阿曼。卡塔尔称拦截来袭火力,碎片造成包括一名儿童在内的3人受伤;科威特称3处陆地边境哨所和一座海上钻井平台受损,1名工人受伤。
- 伊朗宣称海峡在局势恢复平静前关闭,并主张由其控制通行及可能向船舶收费;美国政府和军方则称海峡仍然开放。
- 美军称过去一周有超过140艘船通过海峡;美国海军监督的多国机构称两侧航运仍在继续,但流量处于较低水平。战前每日通行量接近140艘。
- 战前约五分之一的全球贸易石油和天然气经由霍尔木兹海峡。报道指出,冲突曾将油价推至每桶120美元,随后已从战时高点显著回落。
- 美国与伊朗正处于60天临时协议期的中段,谈判因海峡控制权争议和相互袭击接近破裂;巴基斯坦、卡塔尔和埃及仍在推进降级与停火斡旋。
作者观点与证据
美联社将事件描述为围绕霍尔木兹海峡航运控制权不断升级的军事循环,并强调全面恢复战争可能产生严重后果。证据包括美国军方公布的打击规模、海湾各国政府报告的拦截与损害、航运机构公布的通行量,以及遇袭商船的救援记录。
部分信息仍来自交战方口径:伊朗与美国对海峡是否关闭各执一词,美军目标细节含匿名美国官员陈述,伊朗境内损失主要由伊朗官方或半官方媒体披露。报道没有提供独立船舶流量数据、完整战损评估或能源供应中断规模。
与相关标的的关系
- Brent(布伦特原油)、WTI(西得克萨斯中质原油)、UKOIL(布伦特原油市场代码)和USOIL(美国原油市场代码):海峡承担全球约五分之一贸易油气运输,船舶流量下降、商船遇袭及海上设施受损直接影响运输风险和供应预期。
- LNG(液化天然气):卡塔尔及海湾航运安全与全球液化天然气供应链直接相关,区域导弹拦截和海峡通行受限增加运输不确定性。
- XAUUSD(现货黄金兑美元)与DXY(美元指数):冲突范围扩大和停火谈判承压构成避险需求与美元波动的事件背景,但原文未提供两类资产的即时价格反应。
- BTC(比特币):相关性来自周末地缘风险和全球风险偏好的传导,文章没有提供比特币价格、资金流或链上数据,直接证据较弱。
- GLOBAL(全球市场):能源成本、航运中断和地区军事扩散可能影响通胀及风险资产定价;实际影响取决于海峡通行是否持续下降以及油气供应是否发生实质中断。
时效性与限制
文章发布于美东时间 07/11 22:45(UTC+8 07/12 10:45),并包含随后发生的滚动更新;采集时间为美东时间 07/12 21:59(UTC+8 07/13 09:59)。页面更新时间字段未正常显示,因此无法确认文中最新一段更新的准确时刻。军事行动仍在发展,伤亡、战损、海峡状态和谈判进展可能迅速变化。
后续跟踪
- 独立航运数据所显示的每日过境船舶数量、等待时间和绕航规模。
- 霍尔木兹海峡是否出现可验证的持续封锁,以及美国护航或追加打击安排。
- 集装箱船、油轮、液化天然气运输船和海上能源设施的新增受损情况。
- 60天临时协议、地区斡旋和美伊停火谈判能否恢复。
原文
The US launches more strikes on Iran as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz escalates
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Fatou, the world's oldest gorilla living in captivity, celebrates her 69th birthday at Berlin Zoo
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People have been fermenting food for millennia. Here's why more people are focused on gut health now
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Outbreak of diarrhea-causing parasite grows to more than 1,000 cases
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Being a night owl may not be great for your heart but you can do something about it
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World News
The US launches more strikes on Iran as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz escalates
The US launches more strikes on Iran as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz escalates
1 of 3 |
The United States attacked Iran early Sunday morning. The U.S. military’s Central Command said it hit some 140 targets in the strikes, far more than the last two rounds. Jon Gambrell from The Associated Press explains.
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2 of 3 |
Commercial vessels are seen in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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3 of 3 |
Children wade in the water with cargo ships at anchor in the background and a fisherman nearby, in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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The US launches more strikes on Iran as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz escalates
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1 of 3
The United States attacked Iran early Sunday morning. The U.S. military’s Central Command said it hit some 140 targets in the strikes, far more than the last two rounds. Jon Gambrell from The Associated Press explains.
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Commercial vessels are seen in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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Commercial vessels are seen in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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Children wade in the water with cargo ships at anchor in the background and a fisherman nearby, in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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Children wade in the water with cargo ships at anchor in the background and a fisherman nearby, in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP)
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By
JON GAMBRELL , WILL WEISSERT and KONSTANTIN TOROPIN
Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year]
Leer en español
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DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Missile alert sirens sounded Monday in Bahrain as Iran retaliated over the latest round of U.S. airstrikes targeting the Islamic Republic.
The U.S. had been conducting strikes overnight in Iran.
There was no immediate word from the island kingdom in the Persian Gulf about any damage. Bahrain hosts the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet headquarters.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — The United States launched several waves of strikes on Iran on Sunday over an Iranian attack on a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz that set it ablaze and left a crew member missing earlier in the weekend. Iran responded with attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan and Oman — the nation on the other side of the strait that Tehran has pressed to collaborate in managing shipping traffic.
The U.S. military said it was seeking “to degrade” Iran’s “ability to attack commercial ships freely transiting” the strait. The statement came after a third round of strikes late Sunday night and into Monday in Iran.
Iranian state media acknowledged the latest attacks early Monday, describing explosions in several locations.
The first wave of strikes, on Sunday morning, was in response to an Iranian strike on a container ship in the critical waterway the day before. In response, Iran hit Gulf Arab states in an escalating cycle of violence that left the negotiations between Tehran and Washington to end the war at the edge of collapse.
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The U.S. struck again later Sunday. The governor of Qeshm Island near the strait told Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency that projectiles were fired at military targets, with no casualties. Explosions were also heard in the coastal city of Bandar Abbas and Hajiabad city to the north.
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A U.S. official said a few strikes targeted missile and air defense systems and paramilitary Revolutionary Guard boats. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to publicly discuss military operations.
Iran and the U.S. are nearly at the midway point of the 60-day period of their interim deal aimed at reaching a permanent end to the war. The strait, a key route for the global supply of oil and natural gas and long considered an international waterway, has become a sticking point in negotiations that seem in danger of collapse.
“A return to full-scale hostilities would have catastrophic consequences,” United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres said, according to a statement.
Iran says the strait is closed but the US disagrees
The U.S. military earlier Sunday said it hit some 140 targets, including missile and drone launch sites, ammunition dumps, communication equipment and other sites.
The attacks were heavier than in recent days. The U.S. has launched three rounds of airstrikes targeting Iran in the past week over attacks on ships heading through the strait using a route off Oman, seeking to avoid the Islamic Republic’s territorial waters.
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“We bombed the hell out of them last night,” President Donald Trump told NBC’s “Meet the Press.”
Semiofficial Iranian news agencies reported that a navy officer was killed. Iran retaliated by attacking nations in the region hosting U.S. military forces, while insisting it alone must control the strait and potentially charge vessels for traveling through it.
“The era of one-sided deals is OVER,” Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, the speaker of Iran’s parliament and a main negotiator, wrote. “We told you: keep your word or pay the price. Reality is knocking.”
Iran said the strait was closed until calm is restored, and Tehran would consider targeting “additional enemy bases in the region” if it faced more attacks. The U.S. military and Trump asserted that the strait remained open.
The U.S. military said over 140 ships had transited over the past week. A multinational body overseen by the U.S. Navy said traffic continued “at reduced levels” off both Oman and Iran, and that nearly 140 vessels transited daily before the war.
About a fifth of all traded oil and natural gas passed through the strait before the war. Iran’s grip on it led to a global energy crisis, though oil prices have sharply dropped since wartime highs of $120 a barrel.
Oman summons Iranian envoy to protest attack
Missile alerts sounded across several Gulf Arab countries.
Qatar’s military said it intercepted incoming Iranian fire, with explosions heard in the neighboring United Arab Emirates. Three people, including a child, were wounded by shrapnel from the interception of attacks, Qatar’s Interior Ministry said.
Missile alerts sounded in Bahrain, home to the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet.
Kuwait’s Defense Ministry said three “land border posts” in the north and an offshore drilling platform of the Kuwait Oil Company were damaged, with one worker wounded.
Three Iranian missiles struck areas across Jordan, causing minor damage but no injuries, Jordan’s state news agency reported.
And the Omani state news agency said drones struck sites in an area on the waterway, a day after Oman and Iran held talks on the strait and agreed to continue discussions. The strait sits in Iran and Oman’s territorial waters.
Oman summoned the Iranian ambassador to protest the strikes, the first such move since the war began, calling Iran’s acts “irresponsible.”
Iranian strike on ship harms Indian crew
The Cyprus-flagged container ship hit by Iran on Saturday suffered “significant engine room damage,” the U.S. military said.
Oman’s maritime authority said it rescued 23 crew members but one was missing. India’s foreign ministry called him an Indian national.
The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center, overseen by the British military, said the ship had been moving along Oman’s shoreline.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard said multiple vessels “disregarded our warnings” and ignored instructions to follow what it called an approved route. One “was struck by a warning shot and brought to a stop.”
Iranian state media later reported U.S. strikes across the country, including southern Iran in the province closest to the strait and military sites in a province near Tehran.
Attacks followed more diplomatic talks about the strait
Trump suggested last week that the interim deal in the war was “over.” But mediators, including Pakistan, Qatar and Egypt, have continued efforts to reach an agreement.
A regional official involved in mediation, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss talks, said efforts to shore up the ceasefire continued Sunday. Pakistan said its foreign minister spoke by phone with Iran’s top diplomat and urged “de-escalation” on both sides.
Iran’s new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei , unseen since the war began, on Saturday vowed in his first statement since the funeral of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei , that Iranians would avenge his killing in the war’s opening strikes on Feb. 28.
___
Weissert and Toropin reported from Washington. Associated Press writers Samy Magdy in Cairo; Melanie Lidman in Tel Aviv, Israel; Munir Ahmed in Islamabad and Meg Kinnard in Columbia, South Carolina, contributed to this report.
JON GAMBRELL
Gambrell is the news director for the Gulf and Iran for The Associated Press. He has reported from each of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, Iran and other locations across the world since joining the AP in 2006.
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WILL WEISSERT
Weissert covers the White House for The Associated Press. He is based in Washington.
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